← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 60% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.73 |
| Kortrijk win | 18% | 5.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kortrijk −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Amine Benchaib · Kortrijk |
| 15' | ⚽ | Sandy Walsh · Mechelen |
| 21' | 🟨 | Ante Palaversa · Kortrijk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Amine Benchaib · Kortrijk |
| 47' | ⚽ | Amine Benchaib · Kortrijk |
| 53' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 56' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1340.00 | 425.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1584.46 | 1469.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.81 | -15.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 55.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 14.05 | 13.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.73 | 24.84 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |