← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 44% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
| Waregem win | 28% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| St Truiden +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Dion Cools · Waregem |
| 45' | 🟨 | Timothy Derijck · Waregem |
| 47' | 🟨 | Wolke Janssens · St Truiden |
| 52' | ⚽ | Mory Konate · St Truiden |
| 62' | 🟨 | Wolke Janssens · St Truiden |
| 62' | 🟥 | Wolke Janssens · St Truiden |
| 90' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rocco Reitz · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 0 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 122.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1464.56 | 1560.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.29 | 31.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | — |
| league points | 34.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.80 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 13.77 | 12.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.25 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 25.93 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |