← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 39% | 2.47 |
| AS Eupen win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| AS Eupen +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
| 21' | ⚽ | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jordi Amat · AS Eupen |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jordi Amat · AS Eupen |
| 43' | 🟥 | Jordi Amat · AS Eupen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Agbadou · AS Eupen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 12 |
| 3 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 1022.00 | 1326.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1468.87 | 1586.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.54 | -0.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| league points | 38.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.08 | 26.17 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |