← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Mar 18, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 74% | 1.29 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.60 |
| Oostende win | 8% | 12.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1.5 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Oostende −1.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Maxime D'Arpino · Oostende |
| 14' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Oostende |
| 15' | 🟨 | Kenny Rocha Santos · Oostende |
| 24' | 🟨 | Kacper Kozłowski · St. Gilloise |
| 44' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
| 83' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 89' | 🟨 | Maxime D'Arpino · Oostende |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfons Amade · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 686.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1718.75 | 1430.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.58 | -6.68 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.62 |
| league points | 74.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 2.11 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.62 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 24.39 |
| state index | 1.22 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |