← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Mar 13, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Seraing United win | 22% | 4.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Seraing United −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cafaro · Standard |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Cisse · Seraing United |
| 55' | ⚽ | Antoine Bernier · Seraing United |
| 85' | 🟨 | Moussa Sissako · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mehdi Carcela-González · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 255.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1503.18 | 1406.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.94 | -34.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -1.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.60 |
| league points | 36.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 24.61 |
| state index | -0.36 | -1.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |