← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Mar 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 59% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.45 |
| Antwerp win | 18% | 5.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Antwerp −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Radja Nainggolan · Antwerp |
| 24' | ⚽ | Joshua Zirkzee · Anderlecht |
| 33' | 🟨 | Aurélio Buta · Antwerp |
| 34' | 🟨 | Sergio Gómez · Anderlecht |
| 42' | ⚽ | Alhassan Yusuf · Antwerp |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sam Vines · Antwerp |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alhassan Yusuf · Antwerp |
| 75' | 🟨 | Killian Sardella · Anderlecht |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Kouamé · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 589.00 | 285.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1691.78 | 1637.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.69 | -29.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| league points | 59.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.91 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |