← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem win | 38% | 2.60 |
| AS Eupen win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +0 | 53% | 1.87 |
| AS Eupen +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Alessandro Ciranni · Waregem |
| 22' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · Waregem |
| 43' | 🟨 | Dion De Neve · Waregem |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jean-Luc Dompé · Waregem |
| 80' | 🟨 | Abdul Manaf Nurudeen · AS Eupen |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 101.00 | 1015.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 3.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1452.82 | 1484.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.01 | 24.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 31.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.60 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 26.00 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |