← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Charleroi win | 32% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.69 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 12' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 41' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
| 49' | ⚽ | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 57' | 🟨 | Adem Zorgane · Charleroi |
| 59' | 🟨 | Stelios Andreou · Charleroi |
| 73' | 🟨 | Rob Schoofs · Mechelen |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Vakoun Issouf Bayo · Charleroi |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ryota Morioka · Charleroi |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jackson Tchatchoua · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1319.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1589.09 | 1541.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.12 | -16.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.60 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 53.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 24.26 |
| state index | 0.26 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |