← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 75% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.82 |
| Waregem win | 8% | 12.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −1.75 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Gent −1.75 | 48% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.54 |
| Under | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Laurent Depoitre · Gent |
| 23' | 🟨 | Alessandro Ciranni · Waregem |
| 60' | 🟨 | Timothy Derijck · Waregem |
| 70' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ | Roman Bezus · Gent |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 5 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 460.00 | 95.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1706.15 | 1455.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.72 | -23.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 58.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 0.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.94 | 28.44 |
| state index | 1.16 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |