← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 72% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.56 |
| Oostende win | 10% | 10.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Oostende −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Wesley Hoedt · Anderlecht |
| 50' | ⚽ | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 71' | 🟨 | Osaze Urhoghide · Oostende |
| 78' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 82' | ⚽ | Benito Raman · Anderlecht |
| 85' | 🟨 | Makhtar Gueye · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 582.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1686.44 | 1448.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.90 | -9.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 66.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.64 |
| league points | 56.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.03 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.77 | 25.20 |
| state index | 0.84 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |