← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Mar 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 61% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.83 |
| Beerschot VA win | 16% | 6.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp −1 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Beerschot VA −1 | 47% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.72 |
| Under | 43% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Raphael Holzhauser · Beerschot VA |
| 24' | 🟨 | Lawrence Shankland · Beerschot VA |
| 30' | 🟨 | Thibault De Smet · Beerschot VA |
| 42' | ⚽ | Joren Dom · Beerschot VA |
| 45' | 🟨 | Aurélio Buta · Antwerp |
| 58' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Seck · Antwerp |
| 62' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ryan Sanusi · Beerschot VA |
| 73' | 🟨 | Joren Dom · Beerschot VA |
| 73' | 🟨 | Thibault De Smet · Beerschot VA |
| 73' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| 83' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jan Van den Bergh · Beerschot VA |
| coach days | 278.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1634.20 | 1424.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.39 | -15.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 55.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.78 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |