← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Mar 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.98 |
| Kortrijk win | 20% | 5.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Kortrijk +0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 13' | ⚽ | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
| 18' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 43' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
| 67' | ⚽ | Ismael Kandouss · St. Gilloise |
| 76' | ⚽ | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Kortrijk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 85' | 🟨 | Muhammed Badamosi · Kortrijk |
| 87' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 13 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 397.00 | 673.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1492.19 | 1687.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.68 | 16.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 68.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.87 |
| league points | 40.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |