← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Wed, Mar 2, 05:45 PM UTC · ref: C. Dierick
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 52% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.00 |
| Beerschot VA win | 22% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Standard −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 52' | 🟥 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ryan Sanusi · Beerschot VA |
| 78' | 🟨 | Nicolas Raskin · Standard |
| 82' | 🟨 | Pierre Bourdin · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | 🟨 | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Van den Bergh · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ilias Sebaoui · Beerschot VA |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 244.00 | 182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1493.65 | 1431.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.98 | -9.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.47 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 32.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 4.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 23.93 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.81 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |