← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 27, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.04 |
| Standard win | 20% | 4.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Standard +0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Abdoul Tapsoba · Standard |
| 37' | 🟨 | Damjan Pavlović · Standard |
| 45' | 🟥 | Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe · Gent |
| 60' | 🟨 | Moussa Sissako · Standard |
| 71' | 🟨 | Aron Dønnum · Standard |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 78' | 🟨 | Roman Bezus · Gent |
| 88' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolas Raskin · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 241.00 | 453.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1499.82 | 1699.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.19 | 24.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.57 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.15 | 27.52 |
| state index | -0.47 | 1.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |