← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 65% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.67 |
| Kortrijk win | 15% | 6.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk −1.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Genk −1.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.59 |
| Under | 39% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 18' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Kortrijk |
| 18' | 🟨 | Kristof D'Haene · Kortrijk |
| 22' | ⚽ | Joseph Paintsil · Genk |
| 77' | 🟨 | Michiel Jonckheere · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 29 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 13 | Corners | 0 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 88.00 | 391.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1620.20 | 1500.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.34 | -32.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 44.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.81 | 25.95 |
| state index | 0.31 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |