← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Mechelen win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Mechelen +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 37' | ⚽ | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
| 43' | ⚽ | Senna Miangue · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Senna Miangue · Club Brugge |
| 45' | ⚽ | Kévin Denkey · Club Brugge |
| 49' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 69' | 🟥 | Hannes Van Der Bruggen · Club Brugge |
| 76' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
| 76' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| 83' | 🟨 | Thomas Didillon · Club Brugge |
| 86' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Mechelen |
| coach days | 1305.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1587.92 | 1675.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.61 | 11.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.00 | 43.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| league points | 51.00 | 92.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 23.75 |
| state index | 0.45 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |