← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 49% | 1.97 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Genk win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Anderlecht −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Carlos Cuesta · Genk |
| 19' | 🟨 | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
| 36' | ⚽ | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
| 38' | 🟨 | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 39' | 🟨 | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 41' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 44' | 🟨 | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
| 75' | 🟨 | Christian Kouamé · Anderlecht |
| 84' | 🟥 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Genk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 568.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1680.15 | 1630.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.36 | 8.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| league points | 51.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 3.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.67 | 24.43 |
| state index | 0.58 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |