← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 48% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Mechelen win | 26% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Antwerp −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 26' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 67' | 🟨 | Faris Haroun · Antwerp |
| 67' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
| 83' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 85' | 🟨 | Jordi Vanlerberghe · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 264.00 | 1299.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 0.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1672.35 | 1573.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.06 | 2.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.69 |
| league points | 55.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 8.70 | 3.78 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 25.90 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |