← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Feb 19, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kortrijk win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Waregem win | 26% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Kortrijk −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Waregem |
| 17' | ⚽ | Trent Sainsbury · Kortrijk |
| 36' | 🟨 | Cameron Humphreys · Waregem |
| 36' | 🟥 | Cameron Humphreys · Waregem |
| 44' | ⚽ | Trent Sainsbury · Kortrijk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lasse Vigen Christensen · Waregem |
| 51' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Sissako · Waregem |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 61' | ⚽ | Muhammed Badamosi · Kortrijk |
| 62' | 🟨 | Muhammed Badamosi · Kortrijk |
| 64' | ⚽ | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 383.00 | 80.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1484.64 | 1463.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -53.92 | -15.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.66 |
| league points | 37.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.82 | 27.45 |
| state index | -1.27 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |