← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 |
| St Truiden win | 15% | 7.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise −1 | 53% | 1.81 |
| St Truiden −1 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Ismael Kandouss · St. Gilloise |
| 29' | 🟨 | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 54' | ⚽ (pen) | Christian Brüls · St Truiden |
| 55' | 🟨 | Guillaume François · St. Gilloise |
| 64' | 🟨 | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
| 70' | 🟨 | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 70' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · St Truiden |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daniel Schmidt · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| coach days | 653.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1696.49 | 1497.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.22 | 20.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 69.10 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.65 |
| league points | 61.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.80 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 7.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.10 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | -1.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.83 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.60 | -1.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |