← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Verboomen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 54% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Standard win | 22% | 4.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Standard −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mathieu Cafaro · Standard |
| 44' | ⚽ | Théo Bongonda · Genk |
| 45' | 🟨 | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 53' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mark McKenzie · Genk |
| 80' | 🟨 | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kristian Thorstvedt · Genk |
| 81' | 🟨 | Renaud Emond · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 14 | Fouls | 24 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 74.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1608.68 | 1519.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.03 | 12.31 |
| eye test v1 | 1.19 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| league points | 38.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 24.48 | 23.81 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |