← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| Waregem win | 14% | 7.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +1.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Anderlecht +1.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.65 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Christian Kouamé · Anderlecht |
| 33' | ⚽ | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 38' | 🟨 | Idrissa Doumbia · Waregem |
| 74' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zeno Debast · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 73.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1469.33 | 1674.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.15 | -17.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 2.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| league points | 28.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.03 | 24.47 |
| state index | -0.72 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |