← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Feb 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Denil
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 45% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Seraing United win | 27% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Seraing United +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Faris Haroun · Antwerp |
| 63' | 🟥 | Mbwana Samatta · Antwerp |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marius Mouandilmadji · Seraing United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michel Ange Balikwisha · Antwerp |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Guillaume Dietsch · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | 41.00 | 255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1441.48 | 1666.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.37 | 5.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| league points | 26.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.35 | 27.07 |
| state index | -0.83 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |