← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 6, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 71% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.77 |
| Waregem win | 12% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −1.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Waregem −1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under | 33% | 2.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Omar Govea · Genk |
| 47' | ⚽ | Kristian Thorstvedt · Genk |
| 52' | 🟨 | Daniel Muñoz · Genk |
| 57' | 🟨 | David Hubert · Waregem |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dion Cools · Waregem |
| 87' | 🟨 | Aziz Ouattara Mohammed · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 67.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1622.44 | 1478.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.15 | 7.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| league points | 35.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 14.21 | 8.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.57 | 28.23 |
| state index | 0.77 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |