← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Feb 6, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 58% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.66 |
| Beerschot VA win | 20% | 5.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Beerschot VA −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 18' | ⚽ | Hugo Cuypers · Mechelen |
| 29' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 37' | 🟨 | Raphael Holzhauser · Beerschot VA |
| 47' | 🟨 | Felipe Avenatti · Beerschot VA |
| 60' | 🟥 | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 62' | ⚽ (og) | Gaëtan Coucke · Beerschot VA |
| 67' | 🟨 | Stipe Radić · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ryan Sanusi · Beerschot VA |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1285.00 | 158.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1573.01 | 1440.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.26 | 20.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| league points | 42.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |