← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Antwerp win | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| St. Gilloise +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Ritchie De Laet · Antwerp |
| 20' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
| 50' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jean Butez · Antwerp |
| 77' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 78' | 🟨 | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Moris · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 249.00 | 645.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1684.59 | 1678.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.48 | 35.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 67.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| league points | 52.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 36.80 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 6.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 26.48 |
| state index | 0.79 | 0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |