← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Visser
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Standard win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Standard +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Merveille Bokadi · Standard |
| 38' | 🟨 | Konstantinos Laifis · Standard |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nathan Ngoy · Standard |
| 43' | 🟨 | Aron Dønnum · Standard |
| 44' | ⚽ | Dino Hotić · Club Brugge |
| 55' | ⚽ | Nicolas Raskin · Standard |
| 67' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 68' | 🟨 | Selim Amallah · Standard |
| 72' | 🟨 | Senna Miangue · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moussa Sissako · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 90' | 🟥 | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 219.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1515.94 | 1690.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.22 | 11.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.76 |
| league points | 31.00 | 82.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 61.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | -1.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 23.88 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.10 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |