← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Wed, Feb 2, 05:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Vergoote
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 53% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Kortrijk win | 23% | 4.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp +0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Kortrijk +0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟥 | Birger Verstraete · Antwerp |
| 18' | ⚽ | Mbwana Samatta · Antwerp |
| 57' | 🟨 | Victor Torp · Kortrijk |
| 59' | 🟨 | Dorian Dessoleil · Antwerp |
| 68' | 🟥 | Abdelkahar Kadri · Kortrijk |
| 70' | 🟨 | Kristof D'Haene · Kortrijk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pieter Gerkens · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 28 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 3 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kortrijk | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Guldensporenstadion |
| coach days | 366.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1524.86 | 1673.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.34 | 22.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 37.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 3.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |