← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Jan 30, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Mechelen win | 29% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Mechelen −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | ⚽ | Mathieu Cafaro · Standard |
| 49' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 61' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Coucke · Mechelen |
| 69' | 🟨 | Geoffry Hairemans · Mechelen |
| 71' | 🟨 | Dries Wouters · Mechelen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 84' | 🟨 | Thibault Peyre · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 213.00 | 1278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1526.64 | 1562.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.19 | -54.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 31.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.63 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.13 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |