← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Jan 29, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Waregem win | 34% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Beerschot VA −0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Apostolos Konstantopoulos · Beerschot VA |
| 30' | ⚽ | Dereck Kutesa · Waregem |
| 41' | 🟨 | Pierre Bourdin · Beerschot VA |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 44' | 🟨 | Dereck Kutesa · Waregem |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dion De Neve · Waregem |
| 73' | ⚽ | Lawrence Shankland · Beerschot VA |
| 80' | 🟨 | Laurens De Bock · Waregem |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dion Cools · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Ilias Sebaoui · Beerschot VA |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Beerschot VA | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Olympisch Stadion |
| coach days | 150.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1441.14 | 1478.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.82 | 19.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.90 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 16.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.62 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 29.32 |
| state index | -0.64 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |