β Jupiler Pro League 2021 Β· Wed, Jan 26, 08:00 PM UTC Β· ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Beerschot VA win | 31% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA β0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Seraing United β0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | π¨ | Wouter Biebauw Β· Beerschot VA |
| 40' | β½ (pen) | Georges Mikautadze Β· Seraing United |
| 49' | β½ | Lawrence Shankland Β· Beerschot VA |
| 57' | β½ | Youssef Maziz Β· Seraing United |
| 79' | π¨ | Guillaume Dietsch Β· Seraing United |
| 90' | π¨ | Georges Mikautadze Β· Seraing United |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 25.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1442.45 | 1449.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.55 | 0.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| league points | 22.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.17 | 28.09 |
| state index | -1.39 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |