← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Wed, Jan 26, 05:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 40% | 2.45 |
| AS Eupen win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Standard +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Alexandro Calut · Standard |
| 19' | 🟨 | Boris Lambert · AS Eupen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Renaud Emond · Standard |
| 87' | 🟨 | Niels Nkounkou · Standard |
| 90' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Eupen | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadion am Kehrweg |
| coach days | 970.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1487.72 | 1510.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.29 | -7.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.42 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| league points | 30.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 3.22 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 24.80 |
| state index | -1.05 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.10 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |