← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Tue, Jan 25, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Staessens
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.60 |
| Oostende win | 12% | 8.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende −1.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Gent −1.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Thierry Ambrose · Oostende |
| 30' | 🟨 | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 36' | 🟨 | Anton Tanghe · Oostende |
| 59' | 🟨 | Kyle Duncan · Oostende |
| 74' | ⚽ | Andrew Hjulsager · Gent |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cameron McGeehan · Oostende |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Oostende |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 420.00 | 573.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 2.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1682.43 | 1448.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.84 | -24.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| league points | 42.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 4.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 23.84 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |