← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Tue, Jan 25, 05:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| St Truiden win | 20% | 4.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Antwerp −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Michel Ange Balikwisha · Antwerp |
| 47' | 🟨 | Taichi Hara · St Truiden |
| 50' | 🟨 | Liberato Cacace · St Truiden |
| 53' | ⚽ | Taichi Hara · St Truiden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Antwerp | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Bosuilstadion |
| coach days | 238.00 | 208.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1667.29 | 1482.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.73 | 12.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 45.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 25.89 |
| state index | 0.75 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |