← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Jan 23, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Boucaut
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| Waregem win | 17% | 5.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Club Brugge −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (pen) | Dino Hotić · Club Brugge |
| 14' | 🟨 | Alessandro Ciranni · Waregem |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jean-Luc Dompé · Waregem |
| 41' | ⚽ | Boris Popović · Club Brugge |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ibrahima Seck · Waregem |
| 45' | 🟨 | Senna Miangue · Club Brugge |
| 50' | 🟨 | Rabbi Matondo · Club Brugge |
| 57' | 🟨 | Olivier Deman · Club Brugge |
| 75' | 🟨 | Timothy Derijck · Waregem |
| 89' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Club Brugge | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Jan Breydelstadion |
| coach days | 83.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1679.18 | 1484.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.82 | 1.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 72.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 0.31 | 28.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.44 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 23.89 | 27.09 |
| state index | 1.03 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.56 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |