← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Jan 23, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.92 |
| Mechelen win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +1.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Anderlecht +1.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Joshua Zirkzee · Anderlecht |
| 70' | 🟨 | Marian Shved · Mechelen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jordi Vanlerberghe · Mechelen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Amir Murillo · Anderlecht |
| 89' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kristoffer Olsson · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 8 |
| 0 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1271.00 | 540.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1570.75 | 1685.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.39 | 15.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | 1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 25.87 |
| state index | -0.28 | 1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |