← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Jan 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Antwerp win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Oostende win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oostende +0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Antwerp +0.75 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Radja Nainggolan · Antwerp |
| 48' | ⚽ | Zech Medley · Oostende |
| 60' | ⚽ | Michael Frey · Antwerp |
| 70' | ⚽ | Michel Ange Balikwisha · Antwerp |
| 88' | 🟨 | Vincent Koziello · Oostende |
| 89' | 🟨 | Birger Verstraete · Antwerp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oostende | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Diaz Arena |
| coach days | 569.00 | 234.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1454.36 | 1661.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.85 | 12.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| league points | 23.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 62.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 25.99 | 5.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 22.68 | 25.96 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |