← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Tue, Jan 18, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: W. De Cremer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.59 |
| Seraing United win | 11% | 8.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise +1.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Seraing United +1.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
| 13' | 🟥 | Jonas Bager · St. Gilloise |
| 26' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · St. Gilloise |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sami Lahssaini · Seraing United |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 67' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
| 82' | 🟨 | Timothy Galje · Seraing United |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Deniz Undav · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 17.00 | 627.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.86 | 1.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1466.85 | 1643.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.30 | 40.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 22.05 | 23.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 23.79 | 26.67 |
| state index | -1.21 | 1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |