← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Jan 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: L. D'hondt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 65% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.81 |
| Beerschot VA win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA −1.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Genk −1.25 | 49% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 31' | 🟨 | Mauricio Lemos · Beerschot VA |
| 32' | ⚽ | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gerardo Arteaga · Genk |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Théo Bongonda · Genk |
| 86' | 🟨 | Ramiro Vaca · Beerschot VA |
| 88' | ⚽ | Marius Noubissi · Beerschot VA |
| 90' | ⚽ | András Németh · Genk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Beerschot VA |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 46.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1623.72 | 1419.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.60 | -54.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 32.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.33 | 26.96 |
| state index | 0.51 | -1.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |