← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Jan 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 66% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.64 |
| Standard win | 13% | 7.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Anderlecht −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.68 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Noe Dussenne · Standard |
| 32' | ⚽ | Yari Verschaeren · Anderlecht |
| 78' | 🟨 | Renaud Emond · Standard |
| 82' | 🟨 | Lisandro Magallán · Anderlecht |
| 86' | ⚽ | Denis Drăguş · Standard |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gilles Dewaele · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | Standard |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 4.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 533.00 | 199.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1691.78 | 1495.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.23 | -33.47 |
| eye test v1 | 1.26 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.56 |
| league points | 41.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 19.90 | 21.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.48 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 25.27 |
| state index | 1.45 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |