← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Jan 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.27 |
| Kortrijk win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Kortrijk −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Dylan Mbayo · Kortrijk |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Kortrijk |
| 30' | 🟨 | Kristof D'Haene · Kortrijk |
| 44' | ⚽ | Alessio Castro-Montes · Gent |
| 46' | 🟨 | Andreas Hanche-Olsen · Gent |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ilombe Mboyo · Gent |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sambou Sissoko · Kortrijk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Trent Sainsbury · Kortrijk |
| 87' | 🟨 | Ante Palaversa · Kortrijk |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dylan Mbayo · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gent | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | GHELAMCO-arena |
| coach days | 409.00 | 347.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1690.18 | 1534.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.04 | 37.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| league points | 40.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 19.09 | 28.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |