β Jupiler Pro League 2021 Β· Mon, Dec 27, 08:00 PM UTC Β· ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St Truiden win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| AS Eupen win | 26% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Eupen β0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| St Truiden β0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | π¨ | Daiki Hashioka Β· St Truiden |
| 25' | β½ | Taichi Hara Β· St Truiden |
| 33' | π¨ | Stef Peeters Β· AS Eupen |
| 78' | π¨ | Emmanuel Agbadou Β· AS Eupen |
| 80' | π¨ | Jonathan Heris Β· AS Eupen |
| 81' | β½ | Yuma Suzuki Β· St Truiden |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St Truiden | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadion Stayen |
| coach days | 179.00 | 940.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1466.89 | 1508.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.54 | -34.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 21.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 9.01 | 8.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 27.02 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |