← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sun, Dec 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Put
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 |
| Waregem win | 21% | 4.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Standard −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Waregem −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Collins Fai · Standard |
| 55' | ⚽ | Zinho Gano · Waregem |
| 81' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · Waregem |
| 88' | 🟨 | Collins Fai · Standard |
| 88' | 🟥 | Collins Fai · Standard |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Standard | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Maurice Dufrasne |
| coach days | 178.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1508.44 | 1471.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.35 | -15.20 |
| eye test v1 | 0.87 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| league points | 25.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 6.79 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.98 | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |