← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Dec 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Boterberg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 53% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Club Brugge win | 22% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| St. Gilloise −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Edgaras Utkus · Club Brugge |
| 24' | ⚽ | Rabbi Matondo · Club Brugge |
| 27' | 🟨 | Ismael Kandouss · St. Gilloise |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jesper Daland · Club Brugge |
| 45' | 🟨 | Casper Nielsen · St. Gilloise |
| 45' | 🟨 | Teddy Teuma · St. Gilloise |
| 56' | 🟨 | Siebe Van Der Heyden · St. Gilloise |
| 57' | ⚽ | Kaoru Mitoma · St. Gilloise |
| 68' | 🟨 | Thibo Somers · Club Brugge |
| 75' | ⚽ | Bart Nieuwkoop · St. Gilloise |
| 77' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | St. Gilloise | Club Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Joseph Mariën |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Jesper Daland · St. Gilloise |
| coach days | 596.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1635.03 | 1659.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.72 | 42.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.96 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 43.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 18.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 61.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 2.99 | 2.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 24.07 |
| state index | 0.36 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -1.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |