← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Sat, Dec 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Van Damme
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Waregem win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mechelen +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Waregem +0 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Yannick Thoelen · Mechelen |
| 37' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · Waregem |
| 53' | ⚽ | Jelle Vossen · Waregem |
| 74' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean-Luc Dompé · Waregem |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samuel Oum Gouet · Mechelen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dion De Neve · Waregem |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jean-Luc Dompé · Waregem |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | Mechelen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 17.00 | 1235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 4.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1458.61 | 1617.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.52 | -11.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 2.99 | 2.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.80 | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.85 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |