← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Fri, Dec 17, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: W. Smet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Kortrijk win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Seraing United +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Kortrijk +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Gerald Kilota · Seraing United |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ante Palaversa · Kortrijk |
| 58' | 🟨 | Benjamin Boulenger · Seraing United |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Faïz Selemani · Kortrijk |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dylan Mbayo · Kortrijk |
| 79' | 🟨 | Kevin Vandendriessche · Kortrijk |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mathias Fixelles · Kortrijk |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Seraing United | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Pairay |
| coach days | — | 319.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1490.81 | 1517.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.46 | 24.60 |
| eye test v1 | -1.06 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 2.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.29 | 26.30 |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |