← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Thu, Dec 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Van Driessche
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk win | 50% | 2.05 |
| Charleroi win | 26% | 3.91 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Genk −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Charleroi −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 27' | ⚽ | Jackson Tchatchoua · Charleroi |
| 35' | ⚽ | Paul Onuachu · Genk |
| 40' | ⚽ | Junya Ito · Genk |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ali Gholizadeh · Charleroi |
| 55' | 🟨 | Mark McKenzie · Genk |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ali Gholizadeh · Charleroi |
| 68' | ⚽ | Patrik Hrošovský · Genk |
| 82' | 🟨 | Shamar Nicholson · Charleroi |
| 82' | ⚽ | Luca Oyen · Genk |
| 85' | 🟨 | Stefan Knežević · Charleroi |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Genk | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Cegeka Arena |
| coach days | 15.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1597.29 | 1598.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.49 | 5.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 25.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 4.10 | 6.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.70 | 24.41 |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |