← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Wed, Dec 15, 05:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Laforge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| St. Gilloise win | 69% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.39 |
| Waregem win | 13% | 7.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Waregem +1.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| St. Gilloise +1.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.36 |
| Under | 30% | 3.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Dante Vanzeir · St. Gilloise |
| 25' | 🟨 | Kaoru Mitoma · St. Gilloise |
| 39' | ⚽ | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 50' | 🟨 | Christian Burgess · St. Gilloise |
| 74' | 🟨 | Loïc Lapoussin · St. Gilloise |
| 88' | 🟨 | Bart Nieuwkoop · St. Gilloise |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waregem | St. Gilloise |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Elindus Arena |
| coach days | 14.00 | 593.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1469.63 | 1624.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.90 | -7.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 18.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 2.91 | 3.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 27.12 |
| state index | -0.63 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |