← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Wed, Dec 15, 05:45 PM UTC · ref: E. Lambrechts
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 |
| Mechelen win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gent +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Mechelen +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 33' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 36' | ⚽ | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 50' | ⚽ | Laurent Depoitre · Gent |
| 54' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Kerim Mrabti · Mechelen |
| 68' | ⚽ | Tarik Tissoudali · Gent |
| 70' | ⚽ | Nikola Storm · Mechelen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Vinícius Souza · Mechelen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mechelen | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne |
| coach days | 1232.00 | 379.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.12 | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1606.14 | 1697.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.21 | 32.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| league points | 33.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 3.11 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 28.71 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |