← Jupiler Pro League 2021 · Tue, Dec 14, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Lardot
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht win | 68% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.00 |
| St Truiden win | 12% | 9.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht −1.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| St Truiden −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Júnior Pius · St Truiden |
| 51' | 🟨 | Dimitri Lavalėe · St Truiden |
| 60' | ⚽ | Lior Refaelov · Anderlecht |
| 90' | ⚽ | Majeed Ashimeru · Anderlecht |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Anderlecht | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Lotto Park |
| coach days | 500.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1669.96 | 1475.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.47 | -0.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.50 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 33.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 3.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.45 | 27.74 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |